LAFCA & NYFCC Predix

Here are my attempt at predicting who the LA and NY critics will pick when they announce their awards on Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th, respectively.  I must preface this rather futile exercise with the fact that I am not very good at this - yes, I can pick Oscar winners like a mofo (and more oft than not, win any annual Oscar poll contest), but the early precursors are a horse of a much different colour.  Anyway, here goes.

LAFCA

Best Film: The Social Network

Best Director:  David Fincher, The Social Network

Best Actor:  James Franco, 127 Hours

Best Actress:  Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right

Best Supporting Actor:  Matt Damon, True Grit

Best Supporting Actress:  Dianne Wiest, Rabbit Hole

Best Adapted Screenplay:  Lisa Cholodenko, Stuart Blumberg, The Kids Are All Right

Best Cinematography: Wally Pfister, Inception

Best Foreign Film:  White Material

Best Documentary:  Exit Through The Gift Shop

Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 3

NYFCC

Best Film: The Social Network

Best Director:  Mike Leigh, Another Year

Best Actor: Javier Bardem, Biutiful

Best Actress: Tilda Swinton, I Am Love

Best Supporting Actor:  Christian Bale, The Fighter

Best Supporting Actress:  Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom

Best Adapted Screenplay:  Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network

Best Cinematography: Matthew Labatique, Black Swan

Best Foreign Film:  I Am Love

Best Documentary:  Inside Job

Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 3

As you can plainly see, only Best Pic and Best Animated Pic match up between the two organizations.  I think this Oscar race is going to be a rather wide open one (as opposed to past years where many categories are completely sewn up long before the awards are finally handed out).  As for surprises, I would love to see some love for Blue Valentine and its two stars and/or for John Hawkes and Dale Dickey for their roles in Winter's Bone, possibly even a Best Actor award for Casey Affleck in The Killer Inside Me, but I don't see that last one happening.

 

I will post the actual winners (and my prediction grade) as soon as everything is announced.