Sunday, December 12, 2010


Here are my attempt at predicting who the LA and NY critics will pick when they announce their awards on Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th, respectively.  I must preface this rather futile exercise with the fact that I am not very good at this - yes, I can pick Oscar winners like a mofo (and more oft than not, win any annual Oscar poll contest), but the early precursors are a horse of a much different colour.  Anyway, here goes.

Best Film: The Social Network
Best Director:  David Fincher, The Social Network
Best Actor:  James Franco, 127 Hours
Best Actress:  Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Best Supporting Actor:  Matt Damon, True Grit
Best Supporting Actress:  Dianne Wiest, Rabbit Hole
Best Adapted Screenplay:  Lisa Cholodenko, Stuart Blumberg, The Kids Are All Right
Best Cinematography: Wally Pfister, Inception
Best Foreign Film:  White Material
Best Documentary:  Exit Through The Gift Shop
Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 3

Best Film: The Social Network
Best Director:  Mike Leigh, Another Year
Best Actor: Javier Bardem, Biutiful
Best Actress: Tilda Swinton, I Am Love
Best Supporting Actor:  Christian Bale, The Fighter
Best Supporting Actress:  Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom
Best Adapted Screenplay:  Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Best Cinematography: Matthew Labatique, Black Swan
Best Foreign Film:  I Am Love
Best Documentary:  Inside Job
Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 3

As you can plainly see, only Best Pic and Best Animated Pic match up between the two organizations.  I think this Oscar race is going to be a rather wide open one (as opposed to past years where many categories are completely sewn up long before the awards are finally handed out).  As for surprises, I would love to see some love for Blue Valentine and its two stars and/or for John Hawkes and Dale Dickey for their roles in Winter's Bone, possibly even a Best Actor award for Casey Affleck in The Killer Inside Me, but I don't see that last one happening.
I will post the actual winners (and my prediction grade) as soon as everything is announced.

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